Requiem for the Tablet PC?

tabletfuneral GottaBeMobile has posted several thought-provoking articles recently on the future or lack there of the Tablet PC: Long Live the Tablet PC!, Tablet Isn’t Dead - We Just Need a Leader, and The Tablet PC Has Not Failed - Developers Have. There seems consensus that Microsoft (perhaps among others) has fallen down on the job in marketing the Tablet PC and making it more user-friendly, but a divergence of opinion on this platform’s future.

Rob Bushway and his writers on GottaBeMobile have far more expertise than I on the Tablet PC platform. However, because of my several career hats, I may have a different vantage point. I’ll share my experiences and opinions with you in the context of several scenarios which actually happened within a couple of weeks of each other.

Scenario 1

As an attorney, I’m in a conference room for a court hearing before a private (retired) judge with a gaggle of high-priced attorneys in a complex construction dispute. Some of the attorneys have laptops in front of them. However, I don’t see any of the attorneys using their laptops during the hearing, except to monitor their email on breaks. By contrast, I’m busily writing notes in OneNote on my Fujitsu P1620. When I’m asked for my comments on a proposed order. I have a PDF of the order which I have highlighted and annotated using PDF Annotator, with each issue bookmarked. So rather than fumble through papers, I simply use my finger or stylus to navigate from one bookmark to another, with the highlighted passages and my notes right in front of me. After the hearing, several attorneys, and the judge, come over and ask questions, and a couple walk away saying they’re going to buy a tablet.

My take: Professionals are a natural target market for tablets. And they already are used to purchasing relatively expensive laptops. Yet the attorneys’ relative non-use of their laptops is troubling. See more on this in Scenario 7 below.

Scenario 2

Same case, but now I’m in another conference room, meeting with my client’s project manager. He too is interested by the ability to take notes and store annotated electronic files. I also use a case analysis program, CaseMap, to quickly identify documents pertinent to the issue we’re discussing. I then highlight and annotate the document we’re discussing. When we’re done, I mention how he also could use a tablet on the job, managing a construction project. I think he will buy a tablet even before the attorneys and judge will.

My take: The project manager already is part of Motion Computing’s target market, people who use their computers while standing or walking.

Scenario 3

I’m back in the office. I go into an attorney’s office. I assign her tasks from my notes, using the search feature in OneNote to find tagged notes from the two meetings. Using the office’s WiFi connection, I then create Outlook task items directly from OneNote.

My take: Seize the Work Day: Using the Tablet PC to Take Total Control of Your Work and Meeting Day is chock full of such techniques, that apply not just to lawyers, but managers, consultants, etc.

Scenario 4

As an Associate Professor of Computer Science at a community college, I’m teaching one of my computer programming classes. I use my tablet (hooked up to a projector) as a virtual whiteboard, drawing lines from function calls to function headers to show my students how an argument in a function call is passed to a parameter in the called function. Several students express how the accompanying visual is more helpful than a verbal explanation alone. (A picture indeed is worth a 100 words). I then ask my students if it would be easier for them if they could take notes directly next to the applicable portion of the book. They’re understandably hesitant to mark up their book. I show them how they can use a tool like PDF Annotator or Bluebeam PDF (which faculty and students can buy at an educational discount) to mark up an electronic copy of their book. Several ask me after class which tablet is the best for them to buy. (There is no “best” of course but that’s another story).

My take: Education is another natural market, students even more so than teachers. And the students are mostly from a generation that is far more comfortable with computers than mine.

Scenario 5

Still at the college, but this time chairing the college’s Technology Committee (no one else wants the job). I take notes directly on the agenda using the inking tools of Microsoft Word, and then convert the notes into text and paste them into emailed minutes available only hours after the meeting ends. Several administrators and faculty ask me detailed questions about the tablet after the meeting. (One technology-oriented administrator bought my Sony UX).

My take: Both the administrators and faculty, as educators and professionals, are a natural market as explained in the preceding scenarios.

Scenario 6

I’m at my brother’s home. He’s a plastic surgeon so obviously he’s a bright guy with a scientific mind. But like many, he’s a bit overwhelmed by the complexity of computers generally. So when I mention a Tablet PC, he listens politely but inwardly probably rolls his eyes. However, when I explain how the Tablet PC can be used by health care professionals, being a bright and perceptive guy, his ears perk up at the possibilities.

My take: Health care also is part of Motion Computing’s target market. But the fact that my brother is somewhat computer-phobic is reflective that the average computer user often is overwhelmed, and understandably so, by the complexity of computers.

Scenario 7

Back at the law firm, as the ENA (Evil Network Administrator). I am extolling the usefulness of the Tablet PC in the practice of law to the managing partner, who I’ll call Jim, mostly because his first name is Jim. Jim is a highly intelligent guy, but skeptical about whether the benefits of technology justify its often considerable cost. ,Jim patiently listens to my sermon and then responds: “Jeff, I’m sure you use the Tablet PC very effectively. But most of the firm’s attorneys aren’t into technology like you. I’m not sure they would get that much use out of a laptop, much less a Tablet PC.”

My take: Unfortunately, Jim has a point. Many of the attorneys use a laptop at best for email and light word processing when out of the office. I also often hear an attorney say they don’t have the time for the training required to do more with the laptop. Yet, as Scenario 1 reflects, I suspect if they really understood the benefits, they might be willing to invest the time.

Summing Up

I’m not sure Tablet PCs will be successful in the general consumer market, at least so long as  Tablet PCs command a price premium. But there are enough potential customers. Professionals, office workers, field workers, and students are natural markets for the Tablet PC. With the exception of students, these market categories often involve purchasers (professionals or corporate employers) who are willing and able to pay a premium if it is justified. Marketing needs to provide that justification. As several of the above scenarios reflect, the justification is quite real. But who’s going to effectively get out the word?

But marketing is not enough. The success of the Tablet PC may depend on the experience of the first adopters in a company or school If they use the Tablet PC only as a laptop, then their company or school’s adoption of the Tablet PC may stop with them. Unfortunately, using a Tablet PC as a Tablet PC is not always intuitive. The same may be said for Tablet PC software. Self-training (e.g. reading a manual) can be time-consuming and frustrating. Professional trainers cost money, and the benefit to a company of training is less tangible than, say, equipment they can purchase for the same cost.

Your thoughts?

GottaBeMobile Love

gbmGottaBeMobile is one of my very favorite sites for mobile news, and GBM’s Editor-in-Chief, Rob Bushway, is one of the all time nice guys. GBM and Rob have very kind to this blog, publicizing it several times on GBM.

The kindness continues. GBM’s post Thanks, Jeff Kent! recognizes my dubious contributions in the GBM forums as well as this blog.

Check out the GBM forums. You’ll see me (named GenghisKhent naturally) hanging out in the Fujitsu forum (because of my P1620), and lurking (and sporadically contributing) in the Dell, HP, OQO and other forums.

What I truly like about the GBM forums are the people are knowledgeable and helpful and there is no flaming. I guess Rob’s niceness has rubbed off on the rest of us GBM’ers.

So if you’re not a member, join the GBM forums. You won’t be rejected. After all, they accepted me.

Improving My Vista Experience

vistaperformance I have a Dell Dimension 8400 that I purchased almost 4 years ago. Then it was the latest and greatest, one of the first to use PCI Express. Of course, computers age even faster than dogs.

I’ve since “upgraded” the OS from XP Professional to Vista Business. Unfortunately, my mouse cursor too often is the disc that is the Vista equivalent of the hourglass. Eventually this busy state ends, and I can proceed. However, frequent 30 second or so interruptions is subjectively irritating and objectively interferes with my work. I’ve tried various tweaks, like turning off the Superfetch service and modifying Indexing options. That seemed to help a bit, but not much.

Where is my hardware weak link?

My next though was brute force, upgrading hardware. To determine which hardware to upgrade, I used Vista’s Windows Experience Index tool available under Control Panel > System. Here are my scores:

Component Value Score
Processor Pentium 4 3.6GHz 4.2
RAM 2GB 5.3
Graphics Radeon X300 128MB 2.0
Gaming Graphics 895MB available (767MB shared) 3.0
Hard disk 317GB free 5.3

These scores are explained in Windows Experience Index: An In-Depth Look. Here’s a simplified explanation:

Score Description
1.0-1.9 Minimum for Vista basic features
2.0-2.9 OK for Vista basic features but not adequate for premium features (Aero)
3.0-3.9 Minimum for premium features (Aero)
4.0 – 4.9 Very good performance
5.0 – 5.9 Top end

Given my 2.0 graphics score, I turned off Aero. That helped. But still graphics is a weak link, not only on its own, but by using system RAM. Speaking of system RAM, while its 5.3 score is excellent, 2GB is really only OK for Vista.

Upgrade or not?

I only briefly considered whether it was worth upgrading a 4 year old computer rather than buying a new one. Not exactly being a spring chicken myself, I’m partial to not throwing out the old just because it’s old. Additionally, upgrading the video card and RAM is relatively inexpensive (around $200), and when done I’ll have a perfectly good machine. Also, my plan for my next computer is not an off the shelf single processor machine, but instead one I build that has a quad-core processor and uses a 64 bit OS. For backwards compatibility reasons, I’d like then to have a secondary computer with a 32 bit OS. My Dimension 8400 would fit that bill, if I can resolve its current pokey state.

Which graphics card?

That decision made, I went to Dell Replacement Spare Parts & Upgrades, entered my service tag, and viewed the available upgrades.

Dell offered a lot of choices for graphics cards. Since I wasn’t going to get another 128MB choices, I focused on the ones with 256MB or 512MB. My choices basically were:

Radeon HD 2600 XT 512 MB GDDR3
Radeon HD 2600 PRO 512 MB DDR2
Radeon X1650 Pro HDMI 256 MB
Radeon HD 2600 PRO 256 MB DDR2
Radeon HD 2400 PRO 256 MB DDR2
Radeon HD 2400 PRO OverClocked 256 MB DDR2
Radeon Xstasy X1300 256 MB DUAL LINK

Not being a gamer, my knowledge of graphics cards is about as good as my knowledge of women. OK, my knowledge of graphics cards is not that bad. Still, I needed help to wade through the choices.

I went to the AMD ATI Radeon product page. I saw a link to an Upgrade Advisor. Perfect! I clicked on it. Alas, it isn’t functional: “We are currently improving the ATI Upgrade Advisor Tool.” Oh well. I went back to the product page. The comparison tool required me to make choices on issues I understood little or not at all. I then read the descriptions for the 2400 and 2600 series. They were long on marketing mumbo jumbo (”feature-rich upgrade”, “lifelike interactivity”, “immersive realism”, etc., ad nauseam) but short on useful information.

I then went to my favorite hardware information site, Tom’s Hardware. I found an article which discussed the 2400 and 2600 series. The article reassuringly concluded:

“Are the HD 2400, 8500 and 8400 series cards good for gaming? No, but for an HTPC they would be good. Looking at the video playback CPU utilization as well as the fact they all have DX10 hardware means that they would be good for the home or office situation where an inexpensive dual monitor Vista experience is desired.

Are you looking to upgrade from a system you bought or built over three years ago? If you are like most people, these would make a great upgrade path.”

Well, at least I was reassured once I figured out the meaning of HTPC (Home Theatre PC) and DX10 (DirectX 10). I’ve got to learn the lingo better.

Based on my research, 2600 was better than 2400, 2600 XT was better than 2600 Pro, and GDDR 3 was better than DDR2. I don’t know what “better” really means as a practical matter, but the price differential was relatively low ($36). So the Radeon HD 2600 XT 512 MB GDDR3 it is!

Upgrading RAM

Upgrading RAM was easier. I have 4 slots. 2 slots were occupied, 1GB each for a total of 2GB. I have to install RAM modules in matched pairs. So the choice is 2 x 1GB vs. 2 x 512MB. Surely 4 GB of RAM is better than 3GB? However, a 32 bit OS “sees” only 3GB of RAM. Nevertheless, there is some uncertainty if the upper limit is somewhat over 3GB, and the price differential was not great, so I ordered the 2 x 1GB.

Where to buy?

For the graphics card, I went straight to the source: ATI. Its Where to Buy link, after choosing the what I wanted, eventually took me to this page, which listed Dell and other vendors, all quoting near the same $165.00 price as Dell … except Newegg, which quoted $79.99!

My prior experience with Newegg has been very positive; both their prices and service have been excellent. Nevertheless, given the large price differential, I wanted to check if I was comparing apples to apples. The Dell site (and others) quoted a manufacturer part # 900183, whereas Newegg quoted 900171. The VisionTek site was no help. I finally was able to create this comparison. Essentially no difference in features, or at this site, in price, which was reassuring. So Newegg it is!

I ordered the RAM from Crucial simply because I’ve had good prior experience with them and Dell’s RAM choices were limited and mostly out of stock.

Total cost, including shipping and tax: $175!

Will it work?

I dunno. I’ll let you know after I receive and install the graphics card and RAM.

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